VanEck CEO Jan Van Eck has boldly projected that Bitcoin could surge to $180,000 by the end of 2025, thanks to its increasing correlation with global M2 liquidity. Their recent Mid October 2025 Bitcoin ChainCheck report highlights how Bitcoin’s price movements historically align with changes in the global money supply, a critical insight for any Bitcoin maximalist.
Correlation and Market Trends
Historical Correlation with M2 Growth
Since 2014, Bitcoin has shown a correlation of approximately 0.5 with global M2 growth, indicating a significant relationship between fiat currency liquidity and Bitcoin’s price movements. This correlation shines brightly during broader economic trends and holds up like a digital fortress against the waves of fiat debasement.
The Case for Bitcoin as a Debasement Hedge
As governments worldwide continue to print money with reckless abandon, the need for a sound, deflationary asset has never been clearer. With global liquidity nearly doubling from $50 trillion to $100 trillion since 2013, Bitcoin has experienced almost 700x growth. It’s not just a speculative asset; it’s a lifesaver, a hedge against the inflationary pressures that erode purchasing power.
Key Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Bitcoin Price | Approx. $124,500 (as of October 2025) |
| Projected Price by 2025 | $180,000 |
| Global M2 Growth | Increased from $50 trillion to nearly $100 trillion |
| Bitcoin’s M2 Correlation | 0.5 correlation with global liquidity |
| Historical Price Increase | 700x since 2013 |
Influencing Factors for Bitcoin’s Price
Futures Market Dynamics
VanEck emphasizes that approximately 73% of Bitcoin’s price variance since October 2020 can be attributed to changes in futures open interest. With futures leverage near its 95th percentile and substantial cash collateral backing Bitcoin futures at around $145 billion, the stage is set for an explosive upward movement.
A Stronghold Against Currency Debasement
In a world where fiat currencies are losing their value, Bitcoin stands as a beacon of hope. Owning less than 2% of Bitcoin is not just a missed opportunity; it’s akin to holding a short position against an asset that is slowly but surely reclaiming its place as the ultimate store of value.
Future Predictions Beyond 2025
Analyst Matthew Sigel predicts Bitcoin could reach $644,000 by the next halving in April 2028 if it captures half of gold’s market cap. The transition of younger investors toward digital assets reinforces Bitcoin’s role as a future monetary standard.
As the global economic landscape shifts and centralized fiat systems falter, Bitcoin isn’t just an investment; it’s a revolutionary movement that returns monetary sovereignty to the individual.
VanEck’s insights paint an optimistic picture for Bitcoin as both a speculative asset and a safeguard against the impending storm of fiat debasement.
For Bitcoin maximalists, the time is now to unapologetically declare Bitcoin as the true evolution of money.
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